Leonardo da Vinci by Walter Isaacson
“Bias and Decision Support Systems”
“Supporting an Abundance Mentality”
“Big Data and Hadoop” at HADOOP Day
“Death by Powerpoint” at TechLeads Forum
Recently read, with ratings:
****Vacationland by John Hodgman
****The New Analog by Damon Kurkowski
*****Evicted by Matthew Desmond
everyone’s a aliebn when ur a alien too by jimmy sun; unrated due to style
***The curious incident of the dog in the night-time by Mark Haddon
***The Arm by Jeff Passan
****The Glass Universe by Dava Sobel
***Born a Crime by Trevor Noah
****Gettysburg: Turning Point of the Civil War by Knauer et al
*****The Boys in the Boat by Daniel James Brown
****The Martian by Andy Weir
*****The Wright Brothers by David McCullough
***The Map Thief by Michael Blanding
Implementing Domain Driven Design by Vaughn Vernon. Putting Eric Evans’ work into practice.
*****Hadoop Application Architectures by Mark Grover, Ted Malaska, Jonathan Seidman & Gwen Shapira
*****Big Data by Nathan Marz & James Warren. The first book to really spell out the Lambda architecture.
Domain Driven Design by Eric Evans
ORACLE 12c DBA Handbook by Bob Bryla (w/ Kevin Loney)
***Unbroken by Laura Hillenbrand
Impala SQL Command Reference
Domain-Driven Design Reference: Definition and Pattern Summaries
***Learning Spark by Holden Karau, Andy Konwinski, Patrick Wendell, & Matei Zaharia
***Analytics in a Big Data World by Bart Baesens
The Art of War by Sun Tzu
*****Cloudera Administration Handbook by Rohit Menon
**Scaling Lean and Agile Development by Larman & Vodde
***The Innovators by Walter Isaacson
*****The Art of Action by Stephen Bungay
****Command and Control by Eric Schlosser
***Data Science for Business by Provost & Fawcett
*****The Goal by Eliyahu Goldratt
Kurkowski’s The New Analog shines a light on the things we’ve lost when all music is presented as
contemporary: the history of the piece, its influences, its contributors, its place within a timeline of
effort from a writer or performer or composer. A sample music listing eliminates everything that was part
of the liner notes along with all of the performers and contributors.
Kurkowski uses an example from Pandora to show this, but I’d use Leon Fleisher. Fleisher was a world class
pianist when he lost the use of his right hand. He then spent decades mastering the works written solely
for the left hand; becoming a conductor; learning how to teach effectively. And now as he turns 90, the
results of botox and rolfing have returned control to both hands and he is once again playing two-handed
concerts. It’s a remarkable story. But if you are presented by just an iTunes library-style list of his works
then it appears those works are all contemporaries of each other and you have lost the narrative that his
own efforts tell about his life. The data is there, it’s just been left out of the interface as we have dumbed down
the data presented to the customer and eliminated the backstory that would take time to read.
To echo Stephen Jay Gould, evolution implies change - it does not always imply progress.
Desmond’s Evicted will challenge pretty much every preconceived notion you may have about the housing
situation in US cities. I think he could also have made the case that a number of elements
of the financial systems that are supposed to be trailing indicators, such as financial scoring, have morphed over the years
into being driving factors. Those who rely on such scores should evaluate their effectiveness in their actual
usage - much as the intelligence tests of the mid-1900’s were re-evaluated after they were applied to whole populations
rather than just individuals. As Evicted points out, eviction causes poverty (and many other conditions) rather
than being the rarely used last resort when dealing with tenants. It’s not a surprise this book won the Pulitzer.
The output of the women who gathered so much of the early astronomical observations in the US (as described
in The Glass Universe) is being digitized.
The problem with being in the data field is that you find yourself analyzing the data that was available to characters
in books and movies when they make decisions. The frustrating thing isn’t when that data is incomplete - that is
just real life. It’s when people choose to make decisions off data sets they know is incomplete, and they gamble
with their lives or other peoples’ livelihoods as a result.
When viewed from far enough away, your behaviors form a repeated pattern. And those patterns can be compared to other
patterns out there and judged to be on the right track financially, for example. That same logic applies to other
components of life, and we inherently admit that when we watch a character on the screen take a step we all know is wrong.
You don’t need mountains of big data to see that. You just need to be looking for it.
In reading a detailed history of Gettysburg it’s difficult not to look at the decision making process and the lack of data
the commanders were working with. And their costs weren’t misspent capital dollars or minutes of downtime, they were measured
in the thousands of lives.
I have maintained for a long time that ‘decision support systems’ are usually mis-named; they are usually treated as decision
justification systems. This is a fault both of the business users and of the imagination of the technologists who design and develop
the systems. We should be looking at enabling potential use cases flexibly (empowered by schema on read capabilities) rather
than being tied in to exact requirements someone provided a year or two earlier.
The users are at fault too. Consider The Big Short. As shown in the movie, Christian Bale’s character went to Goldman Sachs to
bet against the mortgage bond market. The analysts he met with there did not check any data; they simply looked at each other
and said with assurance that no one stops paying their mortgage. Bale’s character already knew that was wrong, because he had
looked at the data and had seen the default rates. Surely there was a decision support system somewhere at GS. It’s not a matter
of the data being batch or realtime; it’s a matter of the data being relevant and valuable. Data doesn’t support decisions,
it drives them. It initiates them, when used properly. The task of the architect is to implement a system that enables that usage.
Much of my recent reading has been about blockchain and bitcoin, which are not one and the same. For those who are fans of
architectures featuring immutable records and distributed authorities, blockchain technologies offer some interesting solutions.
The difficulties when applying them to financial transactions actually come from the contract side, since sales and purchases are
contracts (even though you don’t usually read all those iTunes terms and conditions). The lack of a central governing
authority empowers blockchain architectures - the more miners the better - but it makes the handling of any disputes
regarding those contracts difficult. That is, it works during happy path transactions; my concern is for the
imperfect transactions, the fraudulent race conditions, the NSF purchase attempts. Investigations continue.
For Hadoop architects, imagine a Kappa-like architecture, feeding a shared and encrypted global ledger that has a periodic
checkpoint to allow for settlement assurance. Each block’s hash is chained to the data from the prior block. There are
lots of uses for this outside of an invented, currency. The miners, after all, have to effectively communicate the status of
their hashed blocks across the entire network while maintaining the integrity of the chain. That’s a highly complex bit
of replication and communication to do at speed.
The Wright brothers, as recorded in McCullough’s book, faced a quandary during their tests in Kitty Hawk -
they had modified their original flyer based on the work of their predecessors, and their new flyer was worse. They finally
had to admit that the leaders they admired and followed did not have all the answers, and they set out to find the real answers.
So they built the first wind tunnel. They tested wing shapes. They tested controllers. And they invented controlled flight.
For all their genius and perseverence, it was their insistence on demanding reality that led them to innovation and success -
not a pursuit of riches but a pursuit of the truth.
Having developed an application that ingests Twitter feeds via Flume into a laptop sandbox HDFS implementation, a
few quick observations -
First, not only are the common examples showing how to do this wrong - they have the wrong library for TwitterSource -
but the default Flume configuration file provided with CDH5.5 Express repeats that same errant call. It’s an out of date call.
Second, no example out there references the useLocalTimestamp option within Flume, which is key to getting rid of those errors
that will show up in your logs.
and Third, the volume of tweets that come through is pretty astounding. The number of them containing actual valuable
business information is left as an exercise for the reader.
In one of my many roles, I play the part of the Facebook Group administrator for a nonprofit. As people request access
to the group, I approve or reject them. At first, approvals outnumbered rejects 10:1. That ratio is now reversed, with most
requests being rejected. Why?
At first, the rejects were people who were looking to advertise on the group board (MLM schemes, etc). They were easy
to spot, since a quick visit to their home page would show that they belonged to many similar groups. But the behavior
these days is of a different sort.
It’s fraud. Or rather, it’s the attempt to set up an account that will look real at a later date. An account that will exist for a given
period of time, belong to groups, post here and there, and then one day do something that requires a fraud check to see if it
is a real person.
What does a real person ‘look’ like online? When they apply to my group, I can see they aren’t real on Facebook - the photos
don’t make sense, or the name is a guy’s name but the profile photos are women, or the locations don’t match, and the group
memberships as a set are bizarre. The developers are hoping that their bots look human enough to survive and develop
a history. Then, they can apply for credit in a country that does not have a centralized credit bureau, and which uses social
media scanning to do fraud profiling. And they’re hoping that that scoring is not sophisticated enough to look at the combination
of life choices they’ve put together and question it - you live in CA but go to church in VA, you’re a woman who buys moustache
wax, you’re a practicing Hindu who follows Arbys on Twitter…
Those fraud checks will be happening in the future. The disruptions to them are happening now, courtesy of linkedin group
admins and Facebook admins who don’t accept every invitation request. It’s a matter of disrupting the signal in a machine learning
pattern that will be executed by a fraud analytics engine, and helping the bots stand out as bots because of their lack of standard
behavior. Humans have a tendency to see patterns - sometimes even where they do not exist - and we are adept at being
bothered by the disruptions.
The weather forecast for the most recent storm called for this region to get 5 to 7 inches of rain. It got 1. Predictive analytics
for weather behavior is frustratingly poor if being wrong by that much - the difference between a normal rain and a tropical
storm basically - is acceptable. It’s interesting to me that in the last two major weather events here with divergent models,
the one labeled the “European model” has been the most accurate at the start; the others tend to over-forecast calamitous landfalls.
An article in The Atlantic focuses on the topic of introverts and how educational methods have changed to focus
on group-based learning methods:
As this applies to personnel development in general, it’s worth a read. There is certainly value in collaborative exercises and
collaborative learning; much of what I do involves group efforts. However, those group efforts presume that each individual in the
group has developed certain skills and brings to the group a set of attributes that is often best developed independently. We can
help each other along as we learn individually, but we do learn independently. It also presumes that all types of learning can be
learned collectively, and I think that is the greater error.
Let me offer an example from my first marathon - when training for it, I ran with others who were supporting the same charity. We
each had to develop our selves individually. We supported each other, but ultimately each person had to develop the stamina and
the mental fortitude necessary to push through the challenges involved. You had to train your own body and brain for that.
Children learning in a academic environment need to learn similar lessons - that they can push through difficult problems, and how
to apply the consistent focus and effort required to do so. How to debug problems. How to design. How to envision a solution and
drive it to creation. How to write (a fellow writer once told me that he’d been told that writing is the practice of applying the seat of
the pants to the seat of the chair). Each of these is an individual effort, a personal developmental goal. And the kids need to learn that
they can do this by themselves. They have that capacity. And then every group the individual is a member of then benefits from
this individual development.
Not only are some skills best learned individually, some can only be learned individually. We cannot learn object oriented
programming thought processes as a group; you have to each understand it. Or Lean methodologies, or domain driven design
implementation. We have to rely on each group member understanding what is going on or it is a fragile house of cards. We can
use some group teaching methods and exercises, but anything that involves a thought process shifting involves a person.
Applying this to the article, we do a disservice to introverts in general if we force them into highly stressful situations in which
their learnings are impacted by the environmental conditions. If the goal of the educational process is to develop children in
the first place, what is the goal of of forcing individual learning programs into a group-based approach? Such a transformation
undermines or eliminates opportunities for individual growth (there are no group-based GPAs or scores on the SAT, btw) when that may
be the most appropriate educational method while also creating a more stressful environment for the very children we are
supposed to be raising up.
Hadoop Application Architectures is listed as having four authors, but you won’t know it; the editing is tight enough that
only a few spots stand out as a shift in writing style. That’s unusual in a multi-author book unless one of the authors takes on the role
of being the primary author and filters all the material, which creates a serialization in the writing process.
In terms of content, the authors (Mark Grover, Ted Malaska, Jonathan Seidman, and Gwen Shaipra) provide decent overviews
of the major tools in the Hadoop ecosystem. You’ll also find the key criteria that will help when making decisions among architecture
components and design patterns. For example, what sort of file compression algorithm should you use and why? What tools are best
for micro batch processing and what are best for streaming needs?
The book closes with three extended examples that are excellent choices because they are so relevant and because they show the
gamut of technologies and decisions involved. These examples are clickstream analysis, fraud detection, and data warehousing, and
they’re not just tacked on chapters at the end - they’re 90 pages in total, and they build on the chapters about modeling, and data
processing, and the key tools involved. These chapters really show how to deliver the value from your Hadoop investment and from
the book. Which is to say, they are outcomes-based chapters, a wonderful thing to find in a book. As such, they provide technical
patterns to follow and a writing pattern to follow.
In reading the book from cover to cover I think I came across about 30 references to other books, including a few that are just now
coming out (including the Marz & Warren Big Data book reviewed below). As such, this book serves as a hub to those other works,
and it is a very strong starting point for any Hadoop developer. Have every developer on your staff read it. Twice.
Marz & Warren’s Big Data is mis-titled; it’s also the best-written technical book I’ve read all year and the definitive work on the Lambda architecture. For those looking to use Hadoop to rethink their data processing and enable significant business transformations, Lambda and Kappa approaches offer strong possibilities. Don’t just use Hadoop to replace components in an old architecture; that works, but it won’t solve your core issues, and Marz and Warren explain the issues and solutions clearly. It’s not a perfect book, but it’s my second 5 star read of the year.
The flaws of the book come from its implementation chapters in which it favors the use of nonstandard frameworks
such as Pail. Its strengths are the theory chapters and the overall editing and structure. Readers new to big data can
find their way through it. Readers who have experience with Hadoop will understand the architecture - how they should
have done things the first time if they had known better. Readers who come from a RDBMS background will be able to
draw parallels with core concepts such as MVIEWS and internal triggers, but they will also learn that they have a long learning
road ahead of them.
One interesting aspect of big data systems is their ability to support eventual accuracy; provide answers that are close to the
correct answer now while calculating the correct answer in the background and catching up by the time it makes a difference.
(You use these now - Google tells you your search will return about 4,000 results but by the time you get to the end
of the list it was really 3,665.). Approaches like these allow us to quickly bypass cognitive biases in decision making. For a
quick rundown of the most common cognitive biases, see:
In late 2000 I was at Oracle Open World in San Francisco, and I went to dinner with Earl Shaffer. Earl and I had complained
for years that the Delaware Valley Oracle Users Group never met near Delaware; at this meeting over pizza, the two of us created
the user group that would meet in Wilmington. Earl provided the drive, I had the contacts and together we had a plan.
Earl wrote the bylaws for the group.
Pete Silva and David Alpern and Dan White and others stepped in to be early leaders and contributors and on September 10, 2001,
the First State Oracle Users Group debuted with a meeting of 60 people in a hotel ballroom.
Rather than assign himself a high board position, Earl was an At Large member of the board, able thereby to direct things and make sure
things were done right. For four years we worked on the board together before turning over the FSOUG to the next generation of
leadership. We later worked together in the workplace as well.
This past Sunday, Earl passed away. For all the lessons he taught people at Oracle conferences or during consulting engagements
I think the one that stuck with me was his persistence in doing what he knew was ultimately the right thing to do. The FSOUG
never directly benefitted him I think - but he knew it would benefit other people, and he was right, and he made it happen.
There have been a number of interesting analytics news articles lately. Among them:
1 - First, a recent study showed that only about a fifth of the 5000 hedge funds studied exhibited real “active” management that differed
from what you could get for cheaper from an index fund. Further, from 1995-2009 the hedge funds’ returns were below those of
the non-actively managed funds. The thing about big data is that you can verify your assumptions instead of taking behavior
2 - With the release of the Ashley Madison data, it turns out that behavioral analysis of the data is reported to reveal that
far below 1% of the paid members there who self-identified as female ever did something non-bots do, such as check their inbox
and manually type in a reply. In this case, that verified the assumptions and the stories of former workers and bloggers.
No, I have not been drafted by the Golden State Warriors. That was Kevon Looney.
Amazon thinks I would be interested in buying the Oracle 12c DBA Handbook :) . Although my name is not on its cover,
alert readers will find the sections that remain from the earlier editions I wrote. The overall structure remains the same,
and brings to mind the arguments with editors back in 1994 over the roles of DBAs and the type of topics they would
want to see in the table of contents. As an unnamed coauthor, I won’t be reviewing this book; and even though my
name is not on the cover it’s my 20th book. Osborne McGraw-Hill sent me a box of them, so I won’t be buying them from Amazon.
When I first started writing the books, the effort was purely as an effort in professional altruism. They sold far more than I ever
thought they would; I was mostly trying to get the implementation patterns out there because the chat groups were filled
with people making the same basic mistakes over and over. The book form just allowed the articles I was writing to reach a
broader audience (I had been writing for Oracle Magazine since 1990, preceding Ask Tom). This was before Oracle
certification tests (either from Chauncey or from Oracle). And it was before people started scanning PDFs of books
and posting them online, effectively taking the intellectual property of authors and publishers and giving away for
free what they worked so hard to write and produce. That’s why the production of technical books has slowed so
dramatically - the rampant theft of the product delivered has eliminated much of the profit so the main benefits left are altruism,
self-education, and branding.
When doing an update of a prior version of a book I had written, for a topic I knew well, I would estimate 1 hour per page.
For a 1000 page book, that’s half a year of work time. It requires a high degree of attention to detail for months on end.
You cannot take pages off. You have an obligation to your readers to get it right. It is hard work. Remember writing a 20-page
term paper? Try writing 50 of them in a row that all go together in a coherent fashion, for a worldwide audience, and that’s sort
of what it’s like -
and you are sacrificing your work hours and your family time to do this -
and then someone takes what you wrote and decides they have the right to make a copy of it and give it away for free.
They decide they have the right to violate copyright laws, post scans, make copies, and deny the author compensation
for the knowledge and effort that went into writing that work.
The market reacted, and the authors slowly invested less time. Which is a shame, because I know how those books
helped enable career changes and personal development.
The new model I am working on is based on self-education and altruism. The new book I am working on is set up to encourage
collaboration and contribution and constant development. The structure is simple and allows for the benefits to be more quickly
realized - so the implementation and design patterns can be commonly shared, and we can move forward together.
The June 2015 edition of The Atlantic includes a short excerpt from The Dorito Effect relating a story of four Danish
scientists who in 2002 examined 3.5 million grocery transactions to try to understand the health benefits of drinking wine.
What they found was that wine drinkers shop differently than beer drinkers - they eat more olives, low-fat cheeses,
fruits and vegetables, spices, and low fat meats; those things go with wine, after all. Beer drinkers were more likely
to reach for chips, ketchup, margarine, sugar, ready-cooked meals, and soda.
So while the health benefits of drinking a glass of wine (or cup of coffee, or some other individual thing) may be cited,
exploring the data shows that that’s only an indicator of something else at work - in this case, that when you drink a beer
you’re more likely to order a burger and fries, and when you order a glass of wine you’re more likely to order the salmon.
Red wine may get the headline, but it is the related effects that have the impact, and those are the important factors
for the data scientists to unearth - and to find other ways to influence.
I spent a good part of the day listening to presentations from high school freshmen. With some practice and mentoring,
I believe all presenters can improve the value they deliver significantly.
next presentation: Impala: Introduction and Beyond, with Nitin Bokka and Radhika Singareddy, at the Hadoop forum.
Roughly 2/3 of the session will be hands-on demos including Hive, Impala, and Parquet.
Much of predictive analytics is based on the concept that future behavior can be inferred from past
behavior. The danger is that clustering people based on attributes (say, single working mothers in Baltimore who
shop 3x a month on Amazon) doesn’t lead to a single set of predictions that apply to every member of the set.
Past behavior qualifies you to be included in a set, to be classified appropriately. Understanding your current position
as a point along a path, and predicting that path, is the data science role. Adding more variables (age, credit score,
number of children, health attributes, etc) would lead, ideally, lead to further narrowing of the risk that you have
mistakenly inferred something about the person’s future path. In human development, two people may start
with the exact same genetic makeup but one may be subjected to environmental effects the other never experiences, leading
to an array of ailments or life changes; as we develop models for categories of individuals and try to predict their paths,
data science can never forget about the individuals.
Work is moving well on the new Hadoop-based site.
Current project: developing a new Hadoop-based site. Also, the momentum for the Delaware Hadoop Users Group
is growing; announcements coming soon.
Learning Spark is not a simple book for brand-new beginners to use. I’ve already worked with Spark in virtual machines, gone
through comprehensive python scripts and scala examples, and done basic admin for clusters. I’ve set up Spark streaming and done
the basics for data capture in RDDs and RDD processing. There’s a lot that goes into just getting things set up right so you can use it
properly. Learning Spark is best for readers who have already learned Spark and played with it.
The problem is that a paper book is probably not the right delivery mechanism for teaching Spark. The reader has to be
able to install Hadoop, Spark, shells, programming languages, and configure them properly. You should know MapReduce
concepts and/or language, and the programming languages involved. The examples in the book then have
to cover the language you’d use (java, python or scala) but by default you will not use the examples from the two
other languages shown. As an author I sympathize with the authors. As a reader I think this is really two books - a reference guide
and a tutorial. As the book bounces back and forth between being a reference guide and a tutorial, the authors try to convey
the most important aspects of each option available. I think a different format would have served them better; a purely technical
reference guide on architecture and design/implementation patterns could be 90 pages and highly valuable. A walkthrough for
newbie developers could be an online VM pre-loaded with examples in the language of their choosing. By trying to be both,
this book does not quite achieve the goals of either audience. You’ll find one word count example, one CSV example, etc. The later
chapters on Spark SQL and Spark Streaming (at 30 pages, the longest chapter) provide a greater level of detail on those tools.
If you are brand new to Spark, you will need to test things out on your own for a while and come back to the book again.
This is not to say it is without merit; it is the only work out there on Spark, and its coauthor wrote Spark. You should see it as the
prequel to “Design Patterns for Spark” that someone should write. Having had the opportunity to sit in on Cloudera’s Spark
training recently, there are definite scope differences; the book covers MLib, while the Cloudera training emphasizes
how to apply flatmap and other functions in many coding exercises.
Lastly, I have had to repeatedly correct people who tell me that Spark is the next Hadoop; that tells me that they do not
understand either Spark or Hadoop. If you want to cast it as the next MapReduce - even then you are only seeing one part
of the picture.
Cisco has decided to join the Big Data party, and has announced reseller partnerships with Hortonworks, Cloudera, and MapR.
In the UCS announcement, they refer to the “internet of everything (IoE)”. One supposes that the IoE is the successor to the
Internet of Things (IoT). This in turn raises concerns, because it implies that there are things (in the IoE) that are in everything
that are not themselves things (or else they would have been in the IoT). The Venn diagram is askew.
Neither marketing term is descriptive or useful. The terms are so broad that when devices are rolled out they will have to
have names that imply their niches for the things they communicate with - a concept and scenario that is not novel.
For fun, calculate the NPS for fivethirtyeight.com and report it to them. Use existing social media feeds where people
post complaints and praise to compare prior year NPS values to prior year feed activity, and then extrapolate that
to a predictive model.
Learning Spark is now in print. Since one of the coauthors is the creator of Spark, it’ll be hard to find a more
authoritative author list.
If you haven’t seen Harrison Craig’s audition video, it’s worth watching. http://youtu.be/kgflbGzlCeY
From an organizational perspective, there is an interesting dynamic - the performer picks the mentor/manager.
What would a company look like if the highest-performing individuals were allowed to pick the managers they worked for?
Quite possibly it would be skewed, with the highest-performing individuals clumped under the most innovative, best delivering,
highest integrity, best mentoring managers. The organization would self-select its best leaders. It would be unbalanced.
And that might be a good thing for some, because not all leaders are equal; but at the same time, not all leaders can effectively mentor
their people, and not all students effectively try to develop themselves or have the raw talent. If Harrison doesn’t have these skills
coming in, no coach can invent those skills in him.
If they are denied access to a mentoring, high-performing manager, will high performers choose to leave the
company in search of a better mentor elsewhere? Any reorganization that does not consider what the choices would be if
the students picked the teachers will create risks. Because students will look at their new managers and
wonder what they will be learning, and if they could be learning more on another team. They should be eager, and enthusiastic,
challenged, and growing. If you are a manager and that does not describe your directs, then part of your job is being left undone.
Third-grade math puzzles are the clickbait of linkedin. If only something more substantive could be generated.
I’m reminded of the TED talk in which the speaker was using the CAPTCHA code interpretations to decipher
text from hard to read manuscripts.
Every new processing engine for Hadoop feels compelled to start its demonstration of capabilities by
executing the word count map reduce. It’s the “Hello, World!” of big data, and just as unfortunate. There should
be a more challenging or relevant example. Let’s start with sentiment analysis…
For the record, Doug Cutting pronounces it had-oop. I think we can consider that authoritative, since he
wrote it. Lots of good discussions on its future this week.
Speaking of which, there’s a Delaware Hadoop Users Group I’ll be kicking off shortly.
Bart Baesans’ book Analytics in a Big Data World is a case where the title almost undersells the contents.
Following a first chapter that is completely forgettable (it’s unfortunate, since my editor will tell you it’s the most
important chapter when it comes to selling the book to a prospective reader), he launches into 130 solid pages
that covers descriptive, predictive, and survival analytics, followed by use cases. The material is technical
enough that analysts will be able to follow it; the technical staff working with them will be able to understand
why they’re doing it.
The later sections, on applying these techniques to big data applications/environments are more sparse than
expected given the level of detail in the earlier chapters. You’ll see where to go, but it would have been nice
to see more concrete examples, code, finished products, and design patterns to follow.
This field as a whole suffers from incomplete product sets being used to assemble complex works of art
for which design patterns have not been vetted in production for very long. Baesens helps show what
questions are possible to ask. Whether your design can support them is another matter.
Recommendations on learning to code:
One of those references kids’ tools. I would not underestimate them. You should see what the STEM
class kids do with raspberry pi devices.
Also, although it is not purely a coding site/app, check out the Coursera app.
Next appearance will be in Philadelphia on 2/9, at a Cloudera panel on the future of Hadoop.
It seems kind of wrong to assign a rating to The Art of War. I read it chiefly as a comparative piece to see
how it tied to The Art of Action. There are definitely places where they agree explicitly; on the need for clarity
in commands, for example, or in the general definition of the conduct of a good general. But Sun Tzu’s generals
deliberately place their soldiers in harm’s way so they will fight their way out: “Place your army in deadly peril and
it will survive; plunge it into desperate straits and it will come off in safety.” (ch 11). That presumes those soldiers have first
been given all the advantages of terrain and timing Sun Tzu demands, but it is still a motivating factor not commonly
read in leadership books that claim a strong parallel between business and war (as The Art of Action does).
Business may think it is war, but war does not think it is business. Going back to Command and Control, to quote Gen
Curtis LeMay: “I’ll tell you what war is about. You’ve got to kill people and when you kill enough of them, they stop fighting.”
The folks at Grantland weigh in on women in computing, drawing mostly from The Innovators and highlighting
some of the non-white-male innovators:
Rohit Menon’s Cloudera Administration Handbook isn’t perfect, but it is as accessible a book as you’ll find
for new developers and administrators. The steps are in the proper order, and they work. The sentences are
declarative and accompanied by appropriate graphics and simple flow diagrams. It’s very much written for
beginners but at the same time assumes you can do challenging commands. Recommended for new Hadoop admins
and for developers who wonder what is going on underneath.
As an author, I appreciate when an author takes the time to write clear, declarative sentences. When writing
material for beginners, include diagrams to simplify visualizing how components fit together. Provide a
logical flow to the material.
If you are looking for a great example of this, I recommend Rohit Menon’s Cloudera Administration Handbook.
Not only should this book be handed to all new hadoop users and admins; it should be handed to people
considering writing books for beginners. Rohit’s site is http://www.rohitmenon.com.
(My assumption is that the index was automatically created by the publisher via a program that looked for
bold terms, which is why MIT is in the index by the fair scheduler is not. That happened to me before.)
Given a new hadoop environment to browse around and get the feel of, the quickest port-agnostic
approaches would be
1 - going through the namenode screens on port 50070 to see what users and directories are
out there, what is working and is failing.
2 - use the hadoop dfsadmin -report command (it’s deprecated in 2 but still works) to see the
nodes involved. The report will show the space usage and pct free by node as well.
3 - hadoop dfsadmin -printTopology (also deprecated but still works).
The rest of the approaches involve using the native toolsets for the environments, such as the
Cloudera management tools.
Chapters 6 through 12 of Larman & Vodde’s Scaling Lean and Agile Development provide a good level
of detail on Agile. They are significantly different than the whole first half of the book; they are much better
written, with more coherent flow to them. Of course, people who are buying the book to learn how to scale
agile & lean probably already know the information in these chapters.
Overall, the first 5 chapters of the book should be read as bullet lists - powerpoint slides transformed into
pages. Use them to determine what topics you want to pursue further, and use their references to go find
further information. Don’t expect any level of detail or analysis. For example, Goldratt’s Theory of Constraints
gets this writeup, which I swear I am not making up:
“Basic TOC has appealing logic to it, such as focusing on the major bottleneck and reducing it. Try that.”
It goes on from there - a two sentence paragraph in which the second sentence is “No problem.” followed by
a longer paragraph in which they shared actual experiences with to separate TOC attempts that failed when they
were applied to project management. Exactly what failed is not shared, other than that it was heavy and not agile
and not lean. But TOC is not contrary to lean, and no details are given, so it’s hard to puzzle out the learnings
The authors of this book have apparently subsequently published a Practices book. It’s a shame more
practices were not integrated into this work.
Larman & Vodde’s Scaling Lean and Agile Development is an unusual book to review. It’s more of a
collection of paragraphs than a book. There is little consistency across chapters or even within chapters,
so as you are reading there are sudden jumps and ad hoc comments that are unrelated to the rest of
the material. It reads like a series of ppts that were written into paragraph form, with more editing needed.
For editing fun, compare Figure 3-7 to Figure 4-4.
As for content: its chief fault is that it does not include practical details for implementing the practices it describes.
On the Amazon reviews, the book’s reviewers defend the authors and then cite a companion book that has
just come out. As a standalone book, I think this book prompts many more questions than it answers. They’re good
questions, but they are unanswered here.
Searching for part-r-00000 returns over 2 million hits, some of which are people’s MapReduce result sets.
Google and Cloudera bring Cloud DataFlow to Apache Spark:
Entry price point for a Hadoop cluster is now $170. Yes, you can create a Hadoop cluster on raspberry pi
devices. For example:
Interim book review notes:
Scaling Lean & Agile Development gives a good overview of agile and lean methodologies and tools. In its
print form, however, a number of the graphics are illegible - they are photos of white boards, and they come
out as grey on grey blobs when printed. It does a disservice to otherwise worthwhile content when the
illustrations of the concepts do not illustrate anything. Surely I’m supposed to be able to read them…
As an author or editor I would never have signed off on those as final page proofs.
Overly optimistic problem solvers tend to jump ahead to solutions before asking if the problem we’re working
on is the right problem. For example, how do I scale agile for my overseas teams?
Larman & Vodde’s Scaling Lean & Agile Development starts off with blunt advice about
large, multisite, offshore development: “don’t do it. There are better ways to build large systems than with
many developers in many places…”
But since you’re going to do it anyway, against their advice on page 1, they then walk you through approaches
and experiments, including a theory of constraints analysis.
An excellent weekend to see Selma.
There’s an odd connection between it and my recent reading list. Curtis LeMay, who is portrayed
Command and Control as the tough-as-nails leader who basically creates the US Strategic Air Command
and makes it operational, once ran for the Vice President of the US on the American Independent Party
ticket. The Presidential candidate on that ticket? George Wallace, the governor of Alabama during the
Selma march. It was the 1968 election, and they were soundly defeated - a poor end for LeMay, who
had devoted so much of his life to the country’s defense (having initiated the Berlin airlift earlier). LeMay did
not share Wallace’s social views but joined the ticket to oppose the war approaches of the two major-ticket
The most repeatedly innovative companies are the not the ones with lone geniuses. They are the ones that promote
the interaction of interested people from all walks of technical life and customer interaction all the time. They configure
their offices and their org structures and their business practices around this. A company is a system, and the
system is designed to generate an output. Is your company structure designed to keep things running? To
control costs and risks? To minimize the distance between customers and technology? To keep all aspects of
technology and customers near each other? To keep its own processes functioning? To minimize costs and
emphasize profit margins of existing products?
Ultimately the company rewards itself for its behavior - and that behavior will be repeated. Is the rewarded
behavior based on innovation or on process execution?
What was the last thing you played a part in inventing? And how did your company celebrate that?
“Can a crocodile play basketball?”
Ask a computer a difficult factual question that humans have already stored in it, or to extrapolate a fact
based on known trends, and we can expect accurate results - market basket analysis results, historical
facts, geographic facts, etc. But while your young children can tell you that a crocodile can’t play basketball,
a compute can’t deduce that simple fact on its own. True AI has been a grail for decades, while the real gains
have been in the knowledge augmentation gained from networking millions of computers, libraries, wikis,
Isaacson’s book concludes with comparisons of AI and knowledge augmentation. That’s unfortunate, since
there are a lot of other directions he could have gone with it, and they would have been more valuable to the
readers. For example, why were these specific innovators successful when others failed? For the innovators
profiled, some had spectacular failures as well - Jobs was forced out of Apple, NeXT drifted until it was saved
by Perot, IBM lost control of the PC market, what happened with HP printers, Compaq PCs, AOL…what
happened to the Altair, the Commodore 64, Atari? Why do market-dominating innovators lose their edge? If
you study what changed that took them out of that innovative position then you can further isolate what it was
that got them there in the first place. In many cases, it is the willingness to fully commit to the right idea. As quoted
(sometimes attributed to Edison, and quoted by Case), visions without execution are hallucinations. The Innovators
could spend time on failed innovations, and those could be even more useful as learnings.
Isaacson wraps up with AI, I believe, because as a writer he is trying to wrap back to the beginning of the book
(to Ada Lovelace). That’s really unnecessary here - this isn’t a novel. A stronger ending would be to take us back
into the ENIAC labs, on a cot, next to the engineers who were programming it throughout the night by switching
wires and contacts around.
continued impressions from The Innovators:
A lot of times, the “light bulb” moment for an innovator is simply the realization that a lot of work is needed, and the
dedication to follow through with it. The story of the origins of Microsoft follow this pattern - the realization that the
home computing industry was starting and they needed to get in it launched Gates and Allen into intensive activity
that pretty much did not relent for years. They wrote the first BASIC for the Altair by putting in the hours, challenging
each other to code more efficiently, building software emulators for chips, and working nonstop. Innovation requires
many things - and chief among them is the willingness to fully dedicate the right people to a task they fully own
and are accountable for.
“The best way to predict the future is to invent it.” - Alan Kay, as quoted in The Innovators.
And if you don’t know who Alan Kay is, use your PC, laptop, or tablet to look him up.
Not everyone is in favor of seating arrangements intended to spur innovation:
Her focus is on her productivity, not on innovation or cross-team functions.
Signed up for the Delaware half marathon. This will be my 7th year leading this as a fundraiser, having
run the course 5 times as a half marathon, once as a full marathon, and once when it was a 10 miler.
In further reviewing innovative companies through tech history: Bell Labs, Intel, Apple, along with others
outside of the tech world, commonly structured their physical spaces to encourage interaction among
people of various disciplines. Isaacson’s biography on Jobs talks about this a lot; how he agonized over the
pathways people would walk during the course of their workdays, and how they would most naturally
interact with others outside of their work areas. Bell Labs set up long corridors. At Intel, Noyce took a small
desk in the middle of a sea of desks.
Now think about agile work spaces. Agile work team spaces are optimized for delivery. Each work team is
focused on one specific technology function, delivering for one small technology area, continuously refining
the backlog for that area. A typical agile work team has 6 to 8 developers and a total of 10 to 12 people
altogether including testers, scrum master, and non-development personnel. The agile developers tend
to be highly specialized because of this org design; on the Web Java team, given only 6 developer spots
you’d expect all 6 of them to be Web Java developers. And tables of agile teams tend to be deployed
together, in pods of similar development teams - so all of the Web Java agile teams are near each other,
But for innovation to occur, I’d want the people designing the middleware services to be sitting next to the
Oracle DBAs so they can understand how the databases are being used. I’d want the DBAs sitting near
the configuration management team so they can understand how deployments work and so they can talk
about the deployment issues for applications at the design stage. I’d want the performance management
team sitting in the center, next to the architecture team, so everybody going to the elevator has to trip
over them and has to see every monitor they have up and has to stop and ask what those lines mean. If
each of these job functions is on a separate agile scrum or Kanban team, that incidental interaction only
happens if their tables are co-located in the same pod. If we locate all of the Web Java teams next to each other
in an isolated pod, we lose that opportunity for unstructured innovation.
located to force collaborative interaction, either physically (as Apple and Bell Labs did) or organizationally via
task forces, cross-team programs, special initiatives, etc. We can then celebrate the successes of the teams,
and at the end of the day the whole can be greater than the sum of its parts.
Interim thoughts from reading The Innovators:
The early days of the digital revolution featured a more collaborative and academic environment than we have
now. Grace Hopper’s initial compilers were sent out to colleagues for their review - the first open source
software. John von Neumann led seminars with a wide range of physicists and engineers and then published
the results widely with the intent that the publication prevent patentability of key concepts by the individuals.
It was a different time, especially between WWI and WWII, but it should not take world war for individuals to
collaborate without the benefit of IPOs.
The integration of the physicists and engineers occurred on campuses, and then in government projects (see
Brighter than a Thousand Suns for the history of the Manhattan Project). When the engineers’ voices are
heard by the architects, and the architects visions are understood by the engineers, we can eliminate projects
and features that we know are not needed or are not going to work. It is the role of tech leadership to facilitate
these communications and drive them to occur. We can’t build a coherent product unless we have a coherent
understanding of what we are all trying to accomplish and why. What is not clear will not get done.
Final book completed for the year: The Art of Action by Stephen Bungay. It was mentioned in a weekly blog
entry by an executive at Barclays, in reference to a speaker who had been in charge of UK military operations.
Bungay is a military historian and a business consultant, and he makes it clear from the outset that he sees little
difference between the two. His approach is geared toward developing a corporate leadership style that is
opportunistic and direct. While you might expect a book like this to get more vague as it goes along - starting
with a couple of historical examples, generate some concepts, and then leaving the rest to the reader - Bungay
instead keeps providing detailed maps to follow when implementing the approaches to closing the knowledge
gap, the alignment gap, and the effects gap.
In many companies, new leaders are promoted without education in the field. They are placed in positions of
responsibility without guidance and we are then surprised that they continue to function as they always have.
If we do that to new leaders, we do them a disservice. We should at a minimum start them out with
The Art of Action and Goldratt’s The Goal so they can understand both their mission and how they need to act
in order to accomplish it.
That is the least we can do.
Bungay’s The Art of Action is really a compelling book. While some books run out of material and get less
concrete as they go along (leaving the reader to figure out what to do with the general principles mentioned
at the start), he actually gets more concrete as he goes along. I feel like I should get copies of this for every
manager I’ve had.
The translator’s notes starting on page 691 just amounted to the first computer programming written, including
the first nested loops and subroutines, a century before the computer existed to execute them. The author was
Ada Byron, Lady Lovelace:
Finished reading Command and Control (http://amzn.com/0143125788). As a follow-on to earlier comments:
In the last sections, he also brings up the issue of the risks inherent in tightly coupled designs. This is a known
issue in industrial designs (chemical plants, processing plants, etc), and also shows up in software - a problem
in one component is not isolated from impacting components elsewhere, and may in fact impact the ability to
monitor the first impact.
The example Schlosser cites is from another book, Perrow’s Normal Accidents, in which two failures could interact
such as to both start a fire and silence the fire alarm. In software, as code repositories age and morph, their
problems tend to become more complex - we didn’t know that when X and Y and Z all happened at the same
time, that would be a bad thing, and Z had disabled the monitor for X’s fault condition…
If that sounds like a made up scenario, try asking for a similar scenario during your next interview of a Java tech lead.
I started reading Command and Control for what it has to say about how organizations manage complex systems.
Then as the story developed it became about how you monitor highly dangerous components that are now being
used in ways they were never designed for. But in agile terms, it is a story about outrageous technical debt, and
the very real penalty paid for not resolving it.
Many sites I’ve heard from have created recursive data warehouses without even thinking about it. They’ve created
a traditional Inmon/Kimball data warehouse that feeds data through staging/integration/ADS layers with the ultimate
destination being a data mart that users query. The data lands in multiple places along the way, with a cost at each
landing site (both in terms of tier 1 storage and, more importantly to the business, in terms of data latency as each
of these successive data movement steps completes).
The data is then queried from the data mart (its fourth landing area) by SAS users. They query multiple tables (creating
their own SAS-based staging area), integrate them within SAS, and do custom reporting (SAS marts). Within SAS, they
recreate the Inmon/Kimball approach, using the enterprise data warehouse as the input to their warehouse. And in this
model, the data is now landing in at least 7 different places before it actually generates business value. This is designed
to be a sequential process that will only get slower as the business and data volumes grow.
Big data, properly implemented, lets you solve the business issues (data latency and tier 1 storage costs). What if,
in your enterprise data warehouse, you move the staging and integration layers to Hadoop, then create a virtual mart
via Hive that gives the SAS users direct access to those tables? The SAS users would bypass 5 landing zones for
the data, and 5 steps that added data latency and storage costs. There are certainly issues that come along with
this configuration - security, tuning, resource sharing, workflows, new tools, training - but the payoff is a systemic fix
and the removal of a recursive data warehouse. The core issue with a recursive data warehouse is a design issue,
and the core fix is a design fix.
multiple reasons, chief among them being that it means the overall failure rate is escalating while the people initiating
these efforts are among the most analytical you can find. What is happening? My next major talk may be on this
topic - why big data projects fail.
started doing big data because your competitors were doing big data and you didn’t want to be left behind. The initial
business case was to replicate an existing business activity with new technology…
technology. With the highest priced resources out there. With open source software. With first generation toolsets.
It’s difficult, and when the bills start coming in, someone finally asks about the ROI. If you have not done a pilot that
demonstrates how you plan to use this new capability, your ROI consists of future operational savings when you replace
your existing analytics with the big data version; and that may not be enough to keep the project moving forward. Make
the business case first, in dollars and in new business capabilities. Make yesterday’s solutions scale while enabling
analysis you could never have performed before, differentiating you from your competition.
Taylor & Vargo's Learning Chef is now available in print. It's been available on safaribooks for some time now, and it's
a must read for those getting up to speed on enterprise scale infrastructure delivery. Solid introduction for novices,
plus recipes to use as templates.
12/14: re-starting the site blog. See my linkedin page for for book reviews from earlier in the year.